Friday, August 29, 2008

Foot-in-mouth disease strikes another unpaid adviser

Not that long ago, Phil Gramm, a close personal friend and unpaid economic adviser to Jhn McCain, caused quite a flap by suggesting that the only recession around was a "mental recession" and referring to the U.S. as a "nation of whiners" -- he subsequently tried to claim that he was referring only to U.S. leaders, but the actual quotation in context showed he was saying nothing of the sort. He was repudiated by McCain, relieved of his unpaid duties, and slunk off (for a while -- he showed up with McCain a few weeks later).

Now another unpaid economic adviser is making news in similar fashion. A story from The Dallas Morning News has quotes from John Goodman that have to be making John McCain hope that everybody forgets all about them, what with Obama's speech and McCain choosing a member of Monty Python as his running mate (what's that? Oh, Sarah Palin). But I'd be looking for Obama-Biden to be making sure that people hear about this take on health insurance from a guy advising McCain on health policy.
clipped from www.dallasnews.com
Texas once again led the nation with the highest percentage of residents without health insurance, a U.S. Census Bureau report showed Tuesday

But the numbers are misleading, said John Goodman, president of the National Center for Policy Analysis, a right-leaning Dallas-based think tank. Mr. Goodman, who helped craft Sen. John McCain's health care policy, said anyone with access to an emergency room effectively has insurance, albeit the government acts as the payer of last resort. (Hospital emergency rooms by law cannot turn away a patient in need of immediate care.)

"So I have a solution. And it will cost not one thin dime," Mr. Goodman said. "The next president of the United States should sign an executive order requiring the Census Bureau to cease and desist from describing any American – even illegal aliens – as uninsured. Instead, the bureau should categorize people according to the likely source of payment should they need care.

"So, there you have it. Voila! Problem solved."

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Wednesday, August 27, 2008

John Kerry delivers a fiery speech

No, that's not sarcasm. He actually gave a succinct, pointed speech contrasting Bush-McCain (as he framed it) and Obama. He showed some of the energy and spirit that many felt was lacking in his campaign for president four years ago. If you weren't watching on C-Span or PBS (or streaming it online), then you probably heard little or none of it, since the highly paid anchors and analysts need to earn their paychecks and showing the convention just gets in the way. If you missed it, here it is:

Context? We don't need no stinkin' context!

Eric Boehlert has a long post that's well worth the time it takes to read it. The gist of his argument is that the story which has dominated media coverage of the DNC -- will Hillary dominate the convention? will her supporters steal Obama's thunder? is it a sign of weakness that Obama allowed Hillary to speak and have her name put in nomination? yadda yadda yadda -- would not be a story had any of these pundits and journalists provided the slightest historical context It's really rather shocking that, in a world in which so much information is just a few keystrokes away, reporters and analysts don't bother checking the most basic historical facts (or, in some instances, even consult their own memories). Read Boehlert. He's spot on.
clipped from mediamatters.org
Hillary Clinton speaks at convention. The press concocts a story

Fact: Many in the press have portrayed Clinton's planned convention address,
as well as the fact that her name is being placed into nomination, as an unprecedented, heavy-handed power grab.

Fact: It's not. In years past, Democratic candidates who won lots of primaries and accumulated hundreds of delegates (sorry, Howard Dean and Bill Bradley) have always been allowed to
address the convention and very often place their name into nomination. It's the norm. It's expected. It's a formality.

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Wondered when we would start seeing this

Here's an image going up on billboards and bus stops in St. Paul, where the GOP will nominate John McCain next week.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

McCain again questions Obama's faith in America

McCain keeps trying to maintain a distinction between questioning Obama's patriotism and questioning his judgment, but when he repeatedly does so in ways that suggest Obama doesn't think much of his country, it starts seeming like a distinction without a difference. A key question is whether pundits and journalists will continue to suggest that the tough tactics don't represent McCain (as they did when the negative ads started rolling out about a month ago) and start holding him accountable for his ads, his surrogates, and his own statements.
Sen. John McCain questioned his Democratic rival's belief in American leadership Tuesday, accusing Sen. Barack Obama of demonstrating confusion about the country's moral standing around the world.
"The Cold War ended not because the world stood 'as one,' but because the great democracies came together, bound together by sustained and decisive American leadership," McCain said to members of the American Legion at their 90th annual national convention here.
McCain said Obama has failed to challenge world criticism which sows doubts about America's greatness, and he ridiculed the Democrat's call for "a world that stands as one" in his Berlin speech last month.
"The 'confusion' here is between John McCain rhetoric that no one's love of country should be questioned and the reality of his campaign's daily, false, personal and detestable attacks on Senator Obama," spokesman Hari Sevugan said
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Back seat driving

I like Ed Rendell, and I think he's a smart guy. But here he is, during the convention, giving an interview in which he is implicitly critical of Obama and his campaign. It's not just that I don't see how he thinks this is helpful, it's that he (like Paul Begala and James Carville, of whom I think far less) is back seat driving Obama's campaign with out apparently grasping one key fact: this is the guy (and the campaign) that ate your candidate's lunch during the primaries. You might think that might make them a bit more reticent about pontificating about campaign strategy, but they didn't get where they are by having a realistic regard for their own gifts.


For a politician cut from a rougher cloth, Rendell may have offered a back-handed compliment when he compared Obama to Adlai Stevenson, the failed Democratic candidate from the 1950s who captured the imagination of American intellectuals but not the electorate at large.


"He is a little like Adlai Stevenson," Rendell mused. "You ask him a question, and he gives you a six-minute answer. And the six-minute answer is smart as all get out. It's intellectual. It's well framed. It takes care of all the contingencies. But it's a lousy soundbite."

"We've got to start smacking back in short understandable bites," he said, noting "Everybody is nervous as all get out. Everybody says we ought to be ahead by 10, 15 points. What the heck is going on?"
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Monday, August 25, 2008

Lincoln: Not just a meaningless symbol?

There's a piece in today's New York Times musing about Obama's political philosophy. This gives the flavor of it:

Much of Mr. Obama’s politics, his opposition to the war and support for raising taxes on the wealthy, and his support of abortion and labor rights, falls squarely in the liberal mainstream of the Democratic Party. But his ideological departures are noteworthy.

He supports the death penalty for some crimes not involving homicides, like child rape, and he favors giving federal money to religious groups for delivering social services.

In foreign affairs, he is a stated admirer of former President George Bush’s foreign policy, often identified now with the so-called “realist” view that the United States should act primarily out of strategic self-interest.

Mr. Obama, an intellectually curious man, is nothing if not pragmatic in the application of philosophy to politics, temperamentally inclined toward no strand of thinking. In his books, sentences are pulled taut between opposing viewpoints; a literary critic remarked on the “internal counterpoise” in his writing.

But that leaves a fundamental question for admirers and critics: Is his a consistent philosophy that borrows pragmatically from the center while rooted on the left? Or does he have an expedient slide-step that allows him to appeal to the center without alienating his liberal base?
There's much in this Michael Powell piece that I agree with (though I continue to be baffled at editors around the country continually allowing the questionable assertion that Bob Casey was denied a speaking role at the 1992 Dem Convention because he was pro-life -- so were several people who spoke, but they actually had endorsed the party's candidate).

I think there are some dots that remain unconnected here, though. Obama has repeatedly spoken of Doris Kearns Goodwin's Team of rivals, her account of Lincoln's Cabinet. Lincoln constructed a Cabinet filled with his political rivals, forceful men who disagreed with him on numerous issues and several of whom were convinced that the wrong person had been elected President -- the right one, of course, was each of them. Goodwin does a masterful job of portraying how Lincoln used his Cabinet to test his own ideas. Cabinet meetings often were heated, but he assured that he had heard the best case on all sides of a given issue before he then made the decision. Anyone who has read much about Lincoln knows that he was accused of being without principle, because his positions fit no clear ideological position, and anyone who reads his speeches knows that his political philosophy ephasized pragmatism and aiming at what was possible over standing firmly on untenable moral positions. Obama, besides referring to Goodwin's book, also has chosen Springfield as the starting point for his primary campaign and for introducing his running mate. While this could be seen as empty political symbolism, I'd suggest it reflects an admiration by Obama for Lincoln's willingness to shun orthodoxy, his belief in his own ability to withstand heated disagreements, and his desire to find a pragmatic basis for governing and for solving national problems. Whether this is evidence of Obama's purported arrogance remains to be determined, and I certainly wouldn't want to be read as suggesting that Obama would be a great president in Lincoln' league, but I think those wishing to understand how a President Obama would govern might do well to read up on Lincoln.

Prepping us for Romney?

This new ad by McCain seems pretty clearly aimed at Hilary Clinton's supporters, suggesting that Obama should have picked her as VP and reminding them of some of the negative things she had to say while running against him. And it fits with the image they're trying to construct of Obama as all surface and no depth, a pretty face (the GOP website put up for 'reporting' on the Dem convention in Denver uses the slogan, A mile high and an inch deep).

But it also may be setting up a comparison for when McCain picks Romney as his VP, trying to inoculate McCain from the inevitable Obama commercials replaying all of Romney's many attacks on McCain during the GOP primary season. Of course, if he doesn't pick Romney or someone with similar footage, I'm wrong.

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Reiinforcing the Muslim/terrorist meme

This ad by a 527 group doesn't say Obama is Muslim, nor talk about 'terrorist fist bumps,' but it does work to reinforce those perceptions of Obama. It is factually correct (though a bit slippery in places), noting Bill Ayers' past and Obama's connection to him. All in all, it seems well designed to play on pre-existing fears about Obama's 'otherness' (fears fanned by Hannity, O'Reilly, and the two right-wing hit books now on the best seller lists). For good measure, it tosses a couple of logs on the Sixties culture wars fire. Meanwhile, McCain and his obvious surrogates pretty much keep their distance from these lines of attack while running ads and making speeches that dovetail nicely with them. We've seen this movie before, in 2004, so the question is whether the Obama campaign can find a better way to respond to them and change the ending.



Here's some info from Politico on the person who is the sole funder of this 527:

The spokesman for the American Issues Project, the independent group whose ad is the most negative of the cycle and links Obama to terrorism, says the group just filed a report naming its sole donor.

The donor, spokesman Christian Pinkston said, is Dallas billionaire Harold Simmons, who made his first fortune in chain pharmacies and is now listed as the 73rd richest person in the world, with a net worth estimated by Forbes at $2.1 billion.

Simmons, a major Republican donor, gave maximum $2,300 contributions to Senator John McCain last year, as well as to former Governor Mitt Romney and to former Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

He's listed as a bundler for the McCain campaign on McCain's website, which says he's raised between $50,000 and $100,000 for the Republican candidate.

He's also contributed to Rep. Chet Edwards, the Texas Democrat who has been mentioned as a possible Obama running mate.

Simmons was reportedly a major donor to the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth in 2004.

He's also a backer of a controversial plan to store nuclear waste in West Texas, which his waste management company would administer.

McCain seems pleased with Biden . . .

at least judging by this ad that was available hours after Obama texted his supporters about his choice of running mate. The question is how the Obama-Biden campaign plan to respond to this obvious use of Biden to reinforce the McCain critique of Obama.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

More Obama on the attack

I missed this response to the McCain "celebrity" ad a couple of days ago. It not only visually links McCain to Hollywood celebrities, it links him to "politics as usual" and, more important, to President Bush . . . repeatedly. I have a feeling this won't be the last time that we see replays of McCain and Bush embracing.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Obama on the attack

Bloggers have been debating whether the Obama campaign needs to go negative, fueled by statements from former Hillary Clinton adviser, Mark Penn, indicating that the time to do so is now. I'm not sure how much credence to give to a man who had much to do with a campaign that went from inevitable to also-ran, but the Obama campaign is about to air the ad below in 16 battleground states. Apparently, they think it's time to turn some of McCain's perceived recent strengths on gas prices into liabilities and to reinforce that he advocated the invasion of Iraq and has been a loyal vote for Bush in recent years.

Conflict of interest?

It took most of the week, but AP has finally focused on the financial ties between McCain's top foreign policy adviser and the Georgian government. Thise ties also bear on the speech McCain gave earlier in the year in which he spoke of a League of Democracies that would exclude Russia. We'll have to wait to see if this gets any follow up attention.
clipped from apnews.myway.com


WASHINGTON (AP) - John McCain's chief foreign policy adviser and his business partner lobbied the senator or his staff on 49 occasions in a 3 1/2-year span while being paid hundreds of thousands of dollars by the government of the former Soviet republic of Georgia.


The payments raise ethical questions about the intersection of Randy Scheunemann's personal financial interests and his advice to the Republican presidential candidate who is seizing on Russian aggression in Georgia as a campaign issue.


McCain warned Russian leaders Tuesday that their assault in Georgia risks "the benefits they enjoy from being part of the civilized world."


On April 17, a month and a half after Scheunemann stopped working for Georgia, his partner signed a $200,000 agreement with the Georgian government. The deal added to an arrangement that brought in more than $800,000 to the two-man firm from 2004 to mid-2007. For the duration of the campaign, Scheunemann is taking a leave of absence from the firm.

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The story goes on to note Scheunemann's extensive and apparently successful lobbying of McCain on behalf of Georgia. Moreover, it also details Scheunemann's membership in the Project for the New American Century and his role in generating public support for invading Iraq. If the Obama campaign can find a way to give this story some legs, it would strengthen their case for a McCain presidency being a third term of Bush foreign policy. While most attention is on domestic economic concerns, turning McCain's supposed advantage on foreign affairs into a liability would be a huge advantage for Obama.

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Oil Money for McCain shunted through mddlle class employee?

I stumbled across this story by McClatchy, who outperform the big media pretty consistently. Given the FEC's glacial pace, and general toothlessness, nothing much is likely to come of it, even should they investigate. But this seems like something that the Obama campaign may make note of for use in future efforts to debunk McCain's squeaky clean campaign finance reform image.
clipped from www.mcclatchydc.com

WASHINGTON — Alice Rocchio is an office manager at the New York headquarters of the Hess Corp., drives a 1993 Chevy Cavalier and lives in an apartment in Queens, N.Y., with her husband, Pasquale, an Amtrak foreman.

Despite what appears to be a middle-class lifestyle, the couple has written $61,600 in checks to John McCain's presidential campaign and the Republican National Committee, most of it within days of McCain's decision to endorse offshore oil drilling.

Hess, among the nation's five biggest oil companies, conducts deepwater drilling in the Gulf of Mexico as well as off the coasts of Europe, Africa and Asia.

Alice Rocchio, reached at the office, confirmed that she registered her '93 Chevy in February, but said that she "absolutely'' used her own money to make the donations.

The Rocchios donated $4,600 to McCain's campaign in February and another $57,000 at the June fundraiser.

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Ad blitz continues

Another new ad from McCain, repeating the celebrity theme before moving on to claim that Obama's economic plan calls for fewer jobs and higher taxes, while McCain stands for renewable energy. McCain and his handlers clearly don't care whether it is obvious to most people that they are misrepresenting, distorting, and lying about Obama's positions. They must be banking on people who not only aren't paying much attention, but also aren't asking fairly basic question, like "What candidate would say he wants there to be fewer jobs?" Sadly, the Pew surveys from 2004 provide evidence that there are a lot of those folks out there who vote.

Iraqis: Agreement near on withdrawal timeline

If true, this is a significant event, and not only because of the impact it is likely to have on the U.S. presidential campaign. McCain is sure to claim it as a victory for 'his' surge; Obama is sure to claim it as another demonstration of his superior judgment.

We'll see how that all plays out, but the big news is that there may truly be light at the end of the tunnel. This has been our longest war since Vietnam, and it has been enormously costly in lives (on all sides), money, U.S. standing, and damage to our democracy.

Regardless of how the domestic politics play out, an end to all this would be something we all should be glad for,
clipped from apnews.myway.com


BAGHDAD (AP) - Two Iraqi officials say the U.S. and Iraq are close to a deal under which all American combat troops would leave by October 2010 with remaining U.S. forces gone about three years later.


A U.S. official in Washington acknowledges progress has been made on the timelines for a U.S. departure but offered no firm date. Another U.S. official strongly suggested the 2010 date may be too ambitious.


A timetable is part of a security agreement being negotiated by U.S. and Iraqi officials. Both sides stress the deal is not final and could fall apart over the issue of legal immunity for American troops.


One of the U.S. officials said Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki had a long and "very difficult" telephone conversation Wednesday in which she pressed the Iraqi leader for more flexibility, particularly on immunity.

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Tightrope, Part Two

Well, I wondered recently how the Obama campaign would respond to McCain's effort to tightrope walk between trumpeting his Washington experience and proclaiming his maverick status as an outsider on the inside. Here's their first effort (and note that they use a clip from Fox News to start):



Unless and until the McCain campaign shifts from portraying him as a maverick, independent of party and lobbyists, the Obama campaign might fruitfully continue with a series of ads that highlight different statements and position shifts over the years that call that image into question. I'll be amazed if they don't, at some point this fall, produce ads making use of McCain's physical embrace of Bush during the 2004 campaign.

Proud ignorance

The GOP and the McCain campaign fundraising the past week has been an offer of a Barack Obama tire pressure gauge. They have mocked his statement that we can save energy by keeping the tires on our cars properly inflated, alleging that that is the totality of his energy plan.

Now True Majority is doing fundraising making use of the video below, in which Obama responded to the GOP gimmick. A few things strike me about what Obama said at this rally. First, he calls their message a lie -- no euphemisms, they're lying and they know it. Second, he argues that their gimmick amounts to them being proud of their ignorance. He never makes a link to the Bush Administration, but it echoes a long-standing, repeated complaint about the way the country has been governed the last 7+ years: the people making decisions are more concerned about scoring political points than with finding the facts about what is going on and what is needed to improve things. Finally, he uses humor to make what could have been turned into another 'elitist' complaint. His underlying point in this video is that the McCain campaign is trivializing our politics, using ginned up issues and gimmicks and lies to try to distract voters from facts and from finding solutions to real problems.

The challenge for his campaign will be getting that message disseminated as widely as the silliness.

Maverick reruns

John McCain's newest ad tries to resuscitate his credentials as a maverick, and, by doing so, allow him to argue both that he is the experienced candidate and that he is the candidate who is willing to 'fix' Washington. He's an insider where we want experience, but an outsider where we need change. It's tough balance to strike, and it'll be interesting to see what the Obama campaign does to try to knock him off that tightrope.

Weight prejudice?

I've heard some very strange explanations for why some women who supported Hillary are saying they won't vote for Obama in November. Maureen Dowd offers the latest entry in the genre below:
clipped from www.nytimes.com

Despite Obama’s wooing, some women aren’t warming. As Carol Marin wrote in The Chicago Sun-Times, The Lanky One is like an Alice Waters organic chicken — “sleek, elegant, beautifully prepared. Too cool” — when what many working-class women are craving is mac and cheese.

In The Wall Street Journal, Amy Chozick wrote that Hillary supporters — who loved their heroine’s admission that she was on Weight Watchers — were put off by Obama’s svelte, zero-body-fat figure.

“He needs to put some meat on his bones,” said Diana Koenig, a 42-year-old Texas housewife. Another Clinton voter sniffed on a Yahoo message board: “I won’t vote for any beanpole guy.”

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The Carol Marin column cited by Dowd was similarly perplexing -- the woman she spoke to (and treated as representative of a large group of women) clearly was angry and hostile towards Obama, but it wasn't clear what fueled her sense of grievance. I heard a professional woman with advanced degrees declaring that neither she nor her parents were going to vote for Obama. Why? Because it was Hillary's turn, not his. I can't know what really is motivating this animus towards Obama, but "he's too thin" or "it's not his turn" sound like excuses kids give for not being nice to another kid on the playground. (Actually, my kids wouldn't be caught dead with such a lame excuse.)

Late in her column, Dowd may be hinting that race is at play in the reactions she's describing, but, if she is, it's obscure. She's too enamored of her extended parallel to Pride & Prejudice to make a clear suggestion that the problem is not Obama's character or actions, but his DNA. That's too bad. She might have made a contribution to a serious discussion about the complexities of race in this campaign (and this country). Instead, she paints a picture of these Hillary-supporters that makes us hope they'll spend future election days at weigh-ins rather than at the polling place.

Monday, August 4, 2008

If the facts don't fit, print the legend

The line from John Ford's The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance came to mind watching this amazing clip, courtesy of Talking Points Memo:



As Josh Marshall notes, these three are so committed to the narrative they and others in the media have constructed about John McCain that they are willing to discount his explicit statement that he is proud of the Paris-Britney ad that they somehow believe he'd be appalled by. So much for the MSM being the "reality-based community."

More on who dealt it

An entry on Salon.com's War Room blog does a better job of explaining why I thought McCain couldn't lose with the race card debate than I did a couple days ago. For most of the last twenty years, accusations of 'playing the race card' against African-Americans seem to have had far more impact than charges that whites are exploiting racial fears. Thomas Schaller points to evidence to support that impression.

Saturday, August 2, 2008

A Reagan insider's take on the flap over celebrity, race

This analysis from Ed Rolllins, an architect of Reagan's 1984 campaign and of Huckabee's this year, is IMHO the best of a Washington Post posting asking political consultants and insders for their take on the "celebrity" ad and its aftermath.


I get disturbed when I hear McCain operatives say this campaign is all about Obama and that they have to define the Democrat as "not ready to lead." This race is also about John McCain. Is he ready to lead? Is he willing to have the courage to move the country in a new direction? The first test will be whether he has the courage to run an honest, "uplifting" campaign. Or will we be going to have more "negative tactics" from the Rove junior varsity.


We need to demand that each candidate look us in the eye and tell us how he gets us out of the mess we're in and the direction in which he will take the country. If they spend their TV millions doing that, the country will be well served. And, finally, the news media need to be covering the race, not rerunning political commercials.

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Rollins, in contrast to the other pols queried for this piece, seems to remember that there is something more going on here than using the tactics and strategy that gives you the best chance for winning -- we are electing someone to spend the next four years trying to undo a daunting set of crises and structural problems, and we might want to have some sense of how each man would handle the job. And the news media might want to remember that their job isn't just to opine on the shrewdness of various tactics. Kudos to Ed Rollins (something I can't quite believe I'm typing).

Friday, August 1, 2008

PAC response to McCain's ad accusing Obama of dissing hospital troops

Much of the back-and-forth volleying seems to be moving to YouTube and other viral video forms. Here's one from BraveNewPAC, a left-wing PAC that has produced a number of ads made by the folks who made Outfoxed and other similar DVDs. But will this reach anyone who isn't already supporting Obama and prone to discount the McCain ads?

Who dealt it?

The McCain campaign accused Obama of 'playing the race card,' while many supportive of Obama argued that the McCain campaign was playing the race card by accusing Obama of doing so. Here, Andrea Mitchell questions McCain's manager, Rick Davis, on this and on the negative tone of the campaign in recent weeks.



As I think is clear from this post by Dan Balz, the McCain campaign can't lose on this one: so long as people are talking about which man played the race card, the focus of campaign coverage is on race, undercutting Obama's efforts to present himself as a candidate whose race is not his sole defining feature. Whether Obama was trying to suggest that the McCainiacs were playing the race card or not, the move by Davis to accuse Obama of doing so likely is the first victory for the campaign in weeks. It isn't clear who is paying attention as we enter the last month of summer, but the topic of conversation has shifted back to race rather than the alleged desperation of the McCain campaign and the low-road they have taken since the turn to Rove disciples at the start of July.

Words fail me . . .

after watching the latest McCain web ad:



The RNC & Rove-planned campaign to define Obama as arrogant and audacious grinds on.